H ere's where Tammy is located right now . Hurricane Tammy Responses ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently since Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer guidance is now suggesting that the storm might wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and extremely effective typhoon that caused enormous damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, exceeding the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering defects in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have now been released for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates cyclone conditions are anticipated in a few of these locations. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a hurricane that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered typhoon warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a danger to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone professionals previously warned typhoons could form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe hazards and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy